Recombinomics Commentary 23:20
January 25, 2010

With regard to the incidence of seasonal flu and SARS, the incidence rate in the region has reached the epidemic threshold (53.2%), noted in the SES. And the most disease-prone age group – children of school age.

In connection with the elevated incidence of acute respiratory suspended the educational process in 5 schools and one boarding schools, 78 classes of 27 schools and three groups in three pre-school educational institutions

The above translation describes the closing of schools in Donetsk, Ukraine (see map) because the incidence of influenza/ARI has reached the epidemic threshold.  This level was reached in most regions of Ukraine earlier, but the latest report lists 4 oblast above the epidemic threshold, with 4 more approaching the threshold.  The other 19 regions, including Donetsk are below, and in a relatively safe zone.  Donetsk has been a concern because of the dramatic rise in fatalities.  The total of 162 to date is well above Lviv, which has 105.  The rise in Donetsk has been recent.  At the end of 2009 there were 91 deaths and 329,281.  This month the number of deaths has almost doubled to 162, which the number of cases has only increased about 20%.  Thus, instead of just under one in 4000 cases dying, the rate this month is closer to 1 in 1000.  This rate increase of almost four fold raises concerns that D225G/N are becoming more common in eastern Ukraine.

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/01251002/H1N1_Donetsk_School.html

Bangladesh
•  Bird flu strikes in Sirajganj, 3000 poultry culled (Link)

India
•  Bird flu: Sea route sealed (Link)
•  Three die of swine flu in Guj, death toll reaches 216 (Link)
•  2 swine flu deaths in J&K take India toll to 1196 (Link)
•  Consolidated Status of Influenza A H1N1 as on 25th January, 2010 (Link)

Indonesia
•  Garut, West Java: Bird Flu Suspect in Treatment (Link)

Israel
•  Bird Flu Discovered at Kibbutz (Link) Health Ministry: No Danger to Humans from Bird Flu (Link)

North Korea
•  N. Korea Asks Southern Visitors to Wear Mask (Link)

South Korea
•  Low-path H7N2 & H5N2 in poultry (Link and link)

Taiwan
•  Bird flu back again (Link)

United States
•  US: Report: National security falls short (Link)
•  Japan Lifts Import Ban on Texas Poultry, USDA Says (Link)

Vietnam
•  Nation focuses on combating bird flu epidemic (Link)

General
•  Was the Threat of H1N1 Flu Exaggerated? (Link)
•  WHO defends its swine flu warning (Link)
•  WHO’S Fukuda Grilled At Council Of Europe Hearing (Link)
•  WHO denies drugs firms swayed its flu decisions (Link)
•  UW-Madison study indicates influenza may hurt fetus (Link)

Commentary 
•  Crofsblogs: Keiji Fukuda speaks to the Council of Europe (Link)

Advertisements